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Canada’s Trudeau sent negotiators scrambling with last-minute objections

Power struggle in Tehran key to determining the treatment of Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe

Turnbull’s coalition majority evaporates as dual citizenship rules claim another scalp

Opponents fear return to dark days as Jair Messias Bolsonaro invokes brutal past

Number of women and minorities seeking US office soars since election

Arms embargo adds to pressure on Caracas ahead of crunch bondholder meeting

Opinion & Analysis

US president’s message muddied by his praise for Beijing

Zimbabwe president’s wife lays claim to his job while another rival flees country

Indian capital likened to gas chamber after pollution levels go off the charts

Former Italian prime minister plots comeback but resurgent centre-right scents chance

Pascal Cagni is business ambassador as France lines up tougher tax rules for tech sector

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President believes Democratic ‘hit job’ is stopping good US relations with Moscow

President refuses to accept prime minister’s resignation from Riyadh

Countries including Japan and Canada forge ahead on successor to TPP without the US

Hassan Nasrallah says Prime Minister Hariri is being held against his will

Intellectual property income is focus of anti-avoidance measures, differing from House

Foreign and domestic investors to be treated ‘equally’ in buying stakes

Two food producers believe leaving EU will help raise agricultural productivity

Philippine leader makes claim ahead of hosting Trump and Asian leaders at summit

Crucial weekend for what many have billed the world’s most complex restructuring ever

What many see as a sign of dysfunction should in many cases be welcomed

Davis rules out province staying in single market as Barnier gets tough on deadline

Real estate industry worries Republican overhaul will undercut values and hurt housing

Financial Times picture editors showcase the best photographs from around the world

The US will no longer tolerate chronic abuses, president tells Apec meeting

Air quality in the Indian capital reaches emergency levels

The two populist leaders meet for the first time this weekend

US president reverts to ‘America First’ agenda as allies revive trans-Pacific pact

Official says foreign and domestic investors to be treated ‘equally’ when buying stakes

Republicans in Ohio hold firm even after Democratic victories in Virginia

As globalisation and the world trade order come under unprecedented attack, FT writers examine the consequences of populist politics, economic dislocation, and technological change for the future of global trade

Protectionist instincts fuel attack on creaking dispute-settlement body

Pursuit of trade deal shows growing isolation of Trump on globalisation

Hyderabad takes hundreds off the streets for causing ‘annoyance and awkwardness’

Party leadership calls on Roy Moore to step aside if claims prove true


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Promoting rice and surgical goods exports to EU

While Pakistan benefits from high utilisation rates of textiles, exporters have not utilised GSP+ preferences for products falling under HS chapters 10 and 90 –

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    There are two dichotomous trends in the cement sector right now. The first is that even when the demand for cement is heading north; prices

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    Old GENCOs should retire

    This government has done a good job in enhancing the power generation capacity of the country; the installed capacity is around 30,000MW, and virtually all the new plants that are commissioning have double the efficiencies of pre-millennium GENCOs. And now,

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    CM directs timely completion of water provision, sanitation schemes

    PESHAWAR: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Chief Minister, Pervaiz Khattak has directed concerned departments to complete ongoing water provision and sanitation schemes on time by constant monitoring and

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    KARACHI: A 7-member delegation of Czech Republic Chamber of Commerce, Czech Republic led by Borivoj Minar held meeting with Chairperson, Sindh Board of Investment (SBI), Naheed Memon here on Saturday. Both sides expressed resolve over the implementation of Memorandum of

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    ISLAMABAD: Talking to a private channel the minister of State for Information, Broadcasting and National Heritage Marriyum Aurangzeb said that Pervez Musharraf was a person

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    Indian Sikh pilgrims return as celebrations of Baba Guru Nanak s birth anniversary end

    ISLAMABAD: More than 2000 Sikh pilgrims have returned India after celebrating birth anniversary of Baba Guru Nanak Dev Jee in Lahore. The pilgrims departed for


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    ULA feels no schedule pressure to select Vulcan engine

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    Space reforms coming: 2018 NDAA drops legislative bombshells on U.S. Air Force

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    NASA leaning towards allowing reused Falcon booster on next Dragon mission

    NASA may decide to allow SpaceX to use a previously-flown Falcon 9 first stage on the next Dragon mission to the International Space Station, the latest sign that SpaceX’s reusability efforts are winning broader acceptance in the market.

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    New Delhi turns into gas chamber

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    Putin ‘insulted’ by US election meddling allegations, claims Donald Trump

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    TripAdvisor warning badges won’t protect anyone, says woman whose rape post was deleted

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    Priti Patel’s resignation: Will Israel-UK relations ever be the same again?

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    Texas gunman’s ex-wife recalls how he put a gun to her head and asked, ‘Do you want to die’

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    Has Saudi Arabia declared ‘war’ against Lebanon?

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    Rebel Wilson sexually harassed by ‘male star in a position of power’

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    Exclusive: Rupert Murdoch twice discussed CNN with AT ?>

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    Greenspan Sees No Stock Excess, Warns of Bond Market Bubble, bond market news.#Bond #market

    Greenspan Sees No Stock Excess, Warns of Bond Market Bubble

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    Heeding Alan Greenspan’s Bond Bubble Warning

    Equity bears hunting for excess in the stock market might be better off worrying about bond prices, Alan Greenspan says. That s where the actual bubble is, and when it pops, it ll be bad for everyone.

    By any measure, real long-term interest rates are much too low and therefore unsustainable, the former Federal Reserve chairman, 91, said in an interview. When they move higher they are likely to move reasonably fast. We are experiencing a bubble, not in stock prices but in bond prices. This is not discounted in the marketplace.

    While the consensus of Wall Street forecasters is still for low rates to persist, Greenspan isn t alone in warning they will break higher quickly as the era of global central-bank monetary accommodation ends. Deutsche Bank AG s Binky Chadha says real Treasury yields sit far below where actual growth levels suggest they should be. Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets, says it s only a matter of time before inflationary pressures hit the bond market.

    The real problem is that when the bond-market bubble collapses, long-term interest rates will rise, Greenspan said. We are moving into a different phase of the economy — to a stagflation not seen since the 1970s. That is not good for asset prices.

    Bond market news

    Stocks, in particular, will suffer with bonds, as surging real interest rates will challenge one of the few remaining valuation cases that looks more gently upon U.S. equity prices, Greenspan argues. While hardly universally accepted, the theory underpinning his view, known as the Fed Model, holds that as long as bonds are rallying faster than stocks, investors are justified in sticking with the less-inflated asset.

    Right now, the model shows U.S. stocks at one of the most compelling levels ever relative to bonds. Using Greenspan s reference of 10-year inflation-adjusted bond yields, currently around 0.47 percent, the gap with the S P 500 s earnings yield at around 4.7 percent, is 21 percent higher than the 20-year average. That justifies records in major equity benchmarks and P/E ratios near the highest since the financial crisis.

    If rates start rising quickly, investors would be advised to abandon stocks apace, Greenspan s argument holds. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist David Kostin names the threat of rising inflation as one reason he isn t joining Wall Street bulls in upping year-end estimates for the S P 500.

    While persistently low inflation would imply a fair value of 2,650 on the benchmark gauge, the more likely case is a narrowing of the gap between earnings and bond yields, Kostin says. He is sticking to his estimate that the index will finish the year at 2,400, implying a drop of about 3 percent from current levels.

    That s no slam dunk, as stocks have proven resilient to bond routs so far in the eight-year bull market. While the 10-year Treasury yield has peaked above 3 percent only a few times in the past six years, sudden spikes in yields in 2013 and after the 2016 election didn t slow stocks from their grind higher.

    Those shocks to the bond market proved short-lived, though, as tepid U.S. growth combined with low inflation to keep real and nominal long-term yields historically low.

    That era could end soon, with the Fed widely expected to announce plans for unwinding its $4.5 trillion balance sheet and central banks around the world talking about scaling back stimulus.

    The biggest mispricing in our view across asset classes is government bonds, Deutsche Bank s Chadha said in an interview. We should start to see inflation move up in the second half of the year.


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    Business News From Australia – World, business news articles.#Business #news #articles


    FANGed: Why Murdoch may sell Fox

    Business news articles

    When Rupert Murdoch unofficially hung the for sale sign on his empire’s prized assets this week, it was confirmation that the mogul had been “FANGed”.

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    Why the law firm at the centre of the Paradise Papers leaks abandoned an attempt to set up a Sydney beachhead.

    Judge blasts ‘unethical’, ‘dishonest’ ANZ, NAB

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    A judge has blasted ANZ and NAB for gross departures from basic standards of commercial decency, for which the banks will pay $50 million ea.

    Double Irish schemes ‘unrealistic’, ATO warns

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    Banks to launch mining-style ad campaign

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    A new “banks belong to you” campaign will remind Australians that 80pc of bank profits are returned to them via dividends.

    Reynolds loses battle over unpaid settlement

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    The NSW Supreme Court recorded a judgment against David Reynolds and Attis Capital in a dispute brought by Faye Mary Parker, the mother of f.

    How ACCC’s NBN changes could really shake up telcos

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    The ACCC’s NBN push should shake up a tightly controlled sector where wholesalers withhold crucial data from smaller service providers.

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      Opalesque Roundtable: How family offices and hedge fund managers are forging closer ties . [more] Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Family offices are seeking dedicated access to investment strategies or technologies that are not normally available to them. By entering close partnerships with skilled independent investment managers, family offices are increasingly able to access a diverse range

      Long/short strategies top performers in October for Index IQ hedge funds . [more] Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Long/short strategies were the top performers in the IndexIQ family of IQ Hedge Indexes. The IQ Hedge Long/Short Index, up 1.59% in the month, followed by the IQ Hedge Global Macro Index, which returned

      Mubadala, CDC International Capital, and Bpifrance sign investment agreement . [more] Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Mubadala Investment Company will join CDC International Capital in direct investments alongside sovereign wealth funds, and Bpifrance, in a new investment vehicle aimed at private and direct investments in the French economy. Mubadala Investment Company is t

      eVestment: 80% of hedge funds in the black YTD 2017, aiming for strongest year since 2013 . [more] Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Following tough years in 2015 and 2016, the hedge fund industry is on pace to see its best aggregate performance since 2013, according to the just-released October 2017 eVestment Hedge Fund Performance Report. Eighty percent of the industry is positive in

      Launches – Eaton Vance, Oaktree to launch diversified credit NextShares fund, FIM launches Nordic AI-powered fund . [more] Eaton Vance, Oaktree to launch diversified credit NextShares fund Eaton Vance Management, a subsidiary of Eaton Vance Corp., announced the expected mid-November launch of Eaton Vance Oaktree Diversified Credit NextShares, a new Eaton Vance-sponsored exchange-traded managed fund. Eaton Va

      Ex-Morgan Stanley executive’s hedge fund jumps 49% on China bets . [more] From Bloomberg.com: A former Morgan Stanley executive’s hedge fund has soared 49 percent this year by sticking with well-timed bets on technology stocks and investing in some of China’s hottest private companies. Led by Richard Ji, who was previously head of Asia Internet and media research at Morga

      October Barclay Hedge Fund Index up 0.96% (+8.31% YTD) . [more] Hedge Funds extended their winning streak to 12 months with a 0.96% gain in October, according to the Barclay Hedge Fund Index compiled by BarclayHedge. The index is up 8.31% for the year and has gained 10.40% since the current winning streak began in November 2016. “Strong global equity marke

      Fortress Investment sees 2.2% AUM drop in quarter excluding Logan Circle sale . [more] From PIOnline.com: Fortress Investment Group’s assets under management declined by 50% in the quarter and 49% in the year ended Sept. 30 to $36.1 billion, the firm’s earnings report released Thursday showed. The decrease in assets under management during the third quarter was due primarily to

      Alternative investments key part of single-family office portfolio strategy . [more] iCapital Network, the financial technology platform democratizing alternative investments for high-net-worth (HNW) individuals and their advisors, today released its second report reviewing single-family office investment activities across private equity funds, hedge funds and direct deals. This rep

      FinTech – Cryptocurrency mania fuels hype and fear at venture firms, Hedging bitcoins with options on the world wide web . [more] Cryptocurrency mania fuels hype and fear at venture firms From Wired.com: Bart Stephens has found himself in high demand lately. After four years of investing in cryptocurrency and preaching its gospel, his venture-capital peers are finally listening. During a recent briefing at a storie

      Artificial Intelligence – When sports betting becomes algorithm: The first AI-driven sports betting hedge fund . [more] From Cointelegraph.com: BetBox main goal is approaching sports betting market in a functional, rational and systematic way, removing emotionality, which makes this field perceived so unsecure and obscure. Two years after launch, BetBox, the world’s first AI-driven Sports betting hedge fund based in

      Regulatory – How the Tax Cuts and Job Act will impact hedge funds, private equity and alternative assets . [more] From Bakertilly.com: The hedge fund, private equity and alternative asset industries could be impacted by a number of tax provisions proposed in the House Ways and Means Committee’s comprehensive tax reform bill called the “Tax Cuts and Job Act” released on Nov. 2, 2017. The act as it stands current

      Paradise Papers – Secrecy over investors in Packer’s Macau foray raises potential ‘red flag’ on money laundering . [more] From ABC.net.au: A casino group once part-owned by Australian billionaire James Packer’s company pressured global offshore law firm Appleby to drop shareholder identity checks – a key measure in the fight against the financing of terrorism. Melco Crown Entertainment, then controlled by the cas

      Europe – Jurisdictions face critical EU tax haven blacklist test . [more] From International-adviser.com: A ‘substance’ test that determines whether actual business activities of offshore structures take place in a jurisdiction could be the make or break factor for 53 countries facing the prospect of being added to an EU-wide tax haven blacklist. A spokesperson for Jersey

      Asia – As Hang Seng hits decade highs, Chinese step up buying Hong Kong stocks . [more] From Reuters.com: With Hong Kong stocks hitting fresh decade-highs this week, money inflows from China are accelerating as mainland investors, afraid of missing out on a spectacular bull run, pile in Increased buying from China could further fuel a market that has already posted an eye-popping 30 pe

      People – Ram Ramaswamy joins Neuberger Berman Breton Hill team, Why Wall Street star Greg Fleming joined the Rockefellers . [more] Ram Ramaswamy joins Neuberger Berman Breton Hill team Neuberger Berman, a global, independent, employee-owned investment manager, further enhanced its quantitative investment capabilities announcing that Ram Ramaswamy has joined as Managing Director, Head of Investment Solutions for the


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