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Areas of Highest Concern

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Budi of Eastern Equatoria State remains one of the most affected counties of the ongoing cholera outbreak, with 703 cases and 79 deaths between July and October 2017.

Boko Haram conflict continues to cause major disruption to livelihoods in the northeast. Large populations remain heavily dependent on humanitarian assistance for food access, the majority of whom are in Borno State.

In Maiduguri, Borno State, prices for maize, rice, and sorghum in September 2017 were up 140 percent from September 2015. Millet was up by 190 percent. Main season harvests are estimated at

20 percent of average.

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

NGOs express alarm at closure of all Yemeni airports, seaports, and land crossings, and call for an immediate reopening to facilitate humanitarian access.

The April to June 2017 Gu season was well below average and the 2017 October to December Deyr season is forecast to be below-average. This follows large rainfall deficits in 2016 for both Gu and Deyr seasons.

As of October 25, Bakool, northern Bay, and some central areas have received 60 to 80 mm, while all other areas received less than 20 mm. Rainfall totals are around 50% below what is normal by this time.

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

As of October 25, Deyr (October to December) rainfall has been slightly below average in much of Dollo and Korahe zones, while rainfall in southern areas of Somali, Oromia, and SNNP regions has been slightly to well above average.

Other Areas of Concern

The 2017 long rains marked the second consecutive season of drought across the majority of Kenya’s pastoral and marginal agricultural areas, which affected livestock productivity and crop production.

As of November 5, the short rains (October to December) have begun countrywide, including in northeastern pastoral areas that had previously not experienced rainfall.

Ongoing conflict in the Kasai region since August 2016 has caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods.

The size of the displaced population from the Kasai region has decreased to less than 1 million people, due to over 710,000 returnees to the region.

Widespread conflict, poor rainfed staple production, and weak casual labor markets are the primary drivers of acute food insecurity, which is expected to be more extensive in early 2018 than during the previous lean season.

Cumulative precipitation for the ongoing wet season through May 2018 is expected to be below-average to average. However, timing and frequency of spring rainfall is likely to be a major determinant of 2018 staple harvest outcomes.

Areas of Highest Concern

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Budi of Eastern Equatoria State remains one of the most affected counties of the ongoing cholera outbreak, with 703 cases and 79 deaths between July and October 2017.

Boko Haram conflict continues to cause major disruption to livelihoods in the northeast. Large populations remain heavily dependent on humanitarian assistance for food access, the majority of whom are in Borno State.

In Maiduguri, Borno State, prices for maize, rice, and sorghum in September 2017 were up 140 percent from September 2015. Millet was up by 190 percent. Main season harvests are estimated at

20 percent of average.

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

NGOs express alarm at closure of all Yemeni airports, seaports, and land crossings, and call for an immediate reopening to facilitate humanitarian access.

The April to June 2017 Gu season was well below average and the 2017 October to December Deyr season is forecast to be below-average. This follows large rainfall deficits in 2016 for both Gu and Deyr seasons.

As of October 25, Bakool, northern Bay, and some central areas have received 60 to 80 mm, while all other areas received less than 20 mm. Rainfall totals are around 50% below what is normal by this time.

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

As of October 25, Deyr (October to December) rainfall has been slightly below average in much of Dollo and Korahe zones, while rainfall in southern areas of Somali, Oromia, and SNNP regions has been slightly to well above average.

Other Areas of Concern

The 2017 long rains marked the second consecutive season of drought across the majority of Kenya’s pastoral and marginal agricultural areas, which affected livestock productivity and crop production.

As of November 5, the short rains (October to December) have begun countrywide, including in northeastern pastoral areas that had previously not experienced rainfall.

Ongoing conflict in the Kasai region since August 2016 has caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods.

The size of the displaced population from the Kasai region has decreased to less than 1 million people, due to over 710,000 returnees to the region.

Widespread conflict, poor rainfed staple production, and weak casual labor markets are the primary drivers of acute food insecurity, which is expected to be more extensive in early 2018 than during the previous lean season.

Cumulative precipitation for the ongoing wet season through May 2018 is expected to be below-average to average. However, timing and frequency of spring rainfall is likely to be a major determinant of 2018 staple harvest outcomes.

Food Security Alerts

A fourth consecutive season of below-average rainfall expected over the Horn of Africa

Severe food insecurity in Somali Region likely to deteriorate further given lack of food aid

Severe food insecurity in Somali Region likely to deteriorate further given lack of food aid

Special Reports

Nigeria Market Monitoring Bulletin

A pesar de una recuperacion parcial, el sector cafetalero sigue afectado por la roya

Nigeria Market Monitoring Bulletin

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About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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